The TCU Horned Frogs (9-0) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Austin.
Texas are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Over/Under for TCU vs. Texas is 64.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas vs TCU & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
TCU vs Texas Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 61.3% confidence.
TCU vs Texas Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Duggan has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kendre Miller has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Quentin Johnston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Taye Barber has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Derius Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Max Duggan has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 10 games (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Whittington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 28% ROI)
TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU has gone 7-1 against the spread this college football season (+5.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- TCU is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 44.16% ROI
- TCU is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- TCU is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 18.75% ROI).
- Texas is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -9.92% ROI
- Texas is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Texas is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
#8 TCU is 11-2 (.688) when scoring 22 or more points — 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511
#8 TCU is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .560
#8 TCU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .501
#8 TCU is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626
#20 Texas is 3-8 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364
Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338
Texas has 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Power 5 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fewest among Big 12 defenses.