The Georgia Bulldogs (9-0) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Starkville.
Georgia are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Georgia vs. Mississippi State is 53.5 total points.
Bet now on Mississippi State vs Georgia & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 74.6% confidence.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 74.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Stetson Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Stetson Bennett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Stetson Bennett has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaden Walley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jo’quavious Marks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Caleb Ducking has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Georgia have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Georgia have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.17 Units / 28% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI).
- Georgia is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 8.09% ROI
- Georgia is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
- Georgia is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State has gone 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 9.85% ROI
- Mississippi State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Mississippi State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
#1 Georgia is undefeated (9-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
#1 Georgia is 16-1 (.800) when passing for more than 200 yards — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405
#1 Georgia is 17-1 (.850) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .430
#1 Georgia is undefeated (10-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — best in FBS; Average: .420
#23 Mississippi State is 1-4 (.143) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386
#24 Mississippi State is undefeated (2-0) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447
#24 Mississippi State is 3-1 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450
#24 Mississippi State is 6-4 (.600) when not losing a fumble — tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .443
Mississippi State has gained 2,500 yards on 261 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.