The UMass Minutemen (1-8) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Jonesboro.
Arkansas State are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Massachusetts vs. Arkansas State is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on Arkansas State vs Massachusetts & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Massachusetts vs Arkansas State Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Massachusetts will win this game with 59% confidence.
Massachusetts vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 54% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Arkansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Massachusetts Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 100% ROI)
Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts has gone 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.18% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -70.14% ROI
- Massachusetts is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
- Massachusetts is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas State has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -58.14% ROI
- Arkansas State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Arkansas State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
UMass is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .423
UMass is winless (0-15) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399
UMass is winless (0-15) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284
UMass is 1-14 (.059) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .406
Arkansas State is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404