The Purdue Boilermakers (5-4) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (7-2) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Champaign.
Illinois are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Purdue vs. Illinois is 44.5 total points.
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Purdue vs Illinois Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 61.0% confidence.
Purdue vs Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Charlie Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Isaiah Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.18 Units / 35% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.48 Units / 12% ROI)
Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+14.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.82 Units / 65% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue has gone 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.55 Units / -36.04% ROI).
- Purdue is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 7.61% ROI
- Purdue is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Purdue is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).
- Illinois is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -2.52% ROI
- Illinois is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI
- Illinois is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI
Purdue is 10-7 (.526) when passing for more than 200 yards — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405
Purdue is 7-2 (.778) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Purdue is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .620
Purdue is 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
#18 Illinois is 5-1 (.625) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511
Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499