Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11
Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

The Pittsburgh Panthers (5-4) visit Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (3-6) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Charlottesville.

Pittsburgh are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for Pittsburgh U vs. Virginia is 40 total points.

Bet now on Virginia vs Pittsburgh U & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 60.2% confidence.

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 66.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Pittsburgh and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Pittsburgh players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kedon Slovis has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kedon Slovis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)

Best Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brennan Armstrong has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Brennan Armstrong has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Keytaon Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)

  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 38% ROI)

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pittsburgh has gone 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -52.7% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia has gone 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • Virginia is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -36.19% ROI
  • Virginia is 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -67.68% ROI
  • Virginia is 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 59.6% ROI

Pittsburgh is 12-4 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .430

Pittsburgh is 7-1 (.636) when not throwing an interception — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .492

Pittsburgh is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .443

Pittsburgh is 12-5 (.600) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

Virginia is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Virginia is 3-7 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522

  
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