The LSU Tigers (7-2) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Fayetteville.
LSU are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Over/Under for LSU vs. Arkansas is 63 total points.
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LSU vs Arkansas Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 54.6% confidence.
LSU vs Arkansas Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best LSU Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for LSU players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Malik Nabers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jadon Haselwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
LSU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+3.36 Units / 8% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU has gone 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- LSU is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 44.26% ROI
- LSU is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- LSU is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas has gone 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- Arkansas is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -26.86% ROI
- Arkansas is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- Arkansas is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
LSU is undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .501
#25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392
LSU is 1-7 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .308
#25 LSU is 3-16 (.136) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350
Arkansas is 2-7 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392
Arkansas is 4-11 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465
Arkansas is 4-12 (.235) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434
Arkansas is 4-13 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419