The Missouri Tigers (4-5) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (8-1) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Knoxville.
Tennessee are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -21 (-110).
The Over/Under for Missouri vs. Tennessee is 56.5 total points.
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Missouri vs Tennessee Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 75.9% confidence.
Missouri vs Tennessee Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 88% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Tauskie Dove has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hendon Hooker has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.45 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jabari Small has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+13.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI).
- Missouri is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -2.62% ROI
- Missouri is 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI
- Missouri is 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee has gone 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Tennessee is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 42.97% ROI
- Tennessee is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Tennessee is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Missouri is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522
Missouri is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
Missouri is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .360
Missouri is 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
#3 Tennessee is 1-4 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .308
#8 Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319
#8 Tennessee is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392
#8 Tennessee is 2-13 (.118) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350
Tennessee has gained 6,015 yards on 423 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Power 5 skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.