The SMU Mustangs (5-4) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls (1-8) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Tampa.
SMU are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for SMU vs. South Florida is 72 total points.
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SMU vs South Florida Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 72.1% confidence.
SMU vs South Florida Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 74.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and South Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best SMU Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for SMU players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tre Siggers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best South Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Florida players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerry Bohanon has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
SMU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+8.68 Units / 70% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.24 Units / 28% ROI)
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU has gone 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI).
- SMU is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.27% ROI
- SMU is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- SMU is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida has gone 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -52% ROI).
- South Florida is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
- South Florida is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- South Florida is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
SMU is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .561
South Florida is winless (0-17) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .395