The Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (6-2) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Baton Rouge.
Alabama are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -13 (-110).
The Over/Under for Alabama vs. LSU is 58 total points.
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Alabama vs LSU Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 68.2% confidence.
Alabama vs LSU Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 75.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.80 Units / 26% ROI)
LSU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.36 Units / 8% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Alabama is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.21% ROI
- Alabama is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Alabama is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU has gone 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- LSU is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 1.23% ROI
- LSU is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- LSU is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
#1 Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
#1 Alabama is 23-1 (.742) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
#1 Alabama is undefeated (13-0) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431
#1 Alabama is 23-1 (.742) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437
#25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419
#25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392
#25 LSU is 3-16 (.136) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350
LSU is 1-7 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .309
LSU’s WRs has gained 4,400 yards on 343 receptions (just 12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.