The Texas Longhorns (5-3) visit Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (6-2) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Manhattan.
Texas are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Over/Under for Texas vs. Kansas State is 54.5 total points.
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Texas vs Kansas State Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 52.8% confidence.
Texas vs Kansas State Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 81% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas has gone 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 8.44% ROI).
- Texas is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -16.21% ROI
- Texas is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Texas is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State has gone 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 0% ROI).
- Kansas State is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 9.78% ROI
- Kansas State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
#20 Texas is 2-8 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358
Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338
#17 Kansas State is 10-3 (.625) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .441
#20 Kansas State is 8-2 (.727) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
#17 Kansas State is 9-2 (.643) when scoring 22 or more points — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505
#17 Kansas State is 10-4 (.556) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418
Kansas State has gained 3,732 yards on 293 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big 12 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 defenses.