The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-4) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Chargers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 9 game with 58.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 9 with 52.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- DeAndre Carter has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Anthony Firkser has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the Completions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Chargers Team Props for Week 9:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored last in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 56% ROI)
Falcons Team Props for Week 9:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Chargers are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -14.61% ROI
- Chargers are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Chargers are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 6-2 (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI).
- Falcons are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 7.1% ROI
- Falcons are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Falcons are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Chargers are winless (0-1) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .396.
The Chargers are undefeated (3-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The Chargers are 5-3 (.625) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .740.
The Chargers are 6-2 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .613.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Falcons are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .624.
The Falcons are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .652.