Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
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Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Zay Jones
Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Between these two teams, Jacksonville has the better chance to score first, even though Denver's defense is top-tier. Denver's offense has scored the fewest points (100) all season and has the worst red zone percentage. Jones and Christian Kirk led the team with 10 targets each, but Kirk is likely to have Pat Surtain II covering him. Surtain has held receivers in check all season and has not allowed a TD. Jones should have an easier time finding space opposite Kirk.
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
D'Onta Foreman
Odds: +750 via DraftKings Sportsbook
The Panthers and P.J. Walker beat the Buccaneers by 18 points last week after trading their star player Christian McCaffrey. They came to play, and it showed. Foreman was the primary beneficiary of McCaffrey's departure, as he received 15 carries which he turned into 118 yards. Neither team is lighting it up on offense, so let us find value in the underdog. Walker targeted D.J. Moore 10 times, which led the team by a wide margin. Foreman and Moore are the centerpieces of this offense now, so they should see the bulk of the workload.
Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys
Tony Pollard
Odds: +450 via BetMGM
The Cowboys will likely be without Ezekiel Elliott this weekend since he has missed practice all week. Pollard should receive an increased workload this week against a team ranked close to last in rushing yards allowed. They have also allowed 10 rushing TDs this season, which ties Seattle for the third most. The Bears are weak against the run and slot receivers, so that is the position to attack. Pollard is averaging 5.6 yards per carry this season as the change of pace back alongside Elliott. As the main guy, he should see multiple targets and more carries.
Miami Dolphins @ Detroit Lions
D'Andre Swift
Odds: +900 via BetMGM
This may be the best number available all year for D'Andre Swift, who has missed Detroit's last three games due to injury. He has practiced in full this week and is ready to return to action this weekend. This offense has looked horrible without Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown, but both are likely to return this week. Swift is a big-play threat any time he touches the ball. He is averaging 8.6 yards per carry this season on 27 attempts. The Lions have not been home since week four, so expect them to come out with intensity for their home crowd.
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings
Adam Thielen
Odds: +800 via BetMGM
The Vikings return from bye to take on the Cardinals this Sunday. The Cardinals’ offense looked like a different unit with DeAndre Hopkins on the field when they scored 42 points against the Saints last week. In that game, they did have trouble stopping the passing attack of New Orleans. They put up 409 passing yards and four TDs against this Cardinals' defense. Kirk Cousins should be able to produce a similar performance at home. Thielen was tied with Justin Jefferson in targets in week six and scored a TD. He should have a good chance of finding the end zone this week.