The Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-2) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (5-1) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in University Park.
Penn State are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Minnesota vs. Penn State is 44.5 total points.
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Minnesota vs Penn State Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 56.4% confidence.
Minnesota vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Noah Cain has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tanner Morgan has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Clifford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Keyvone Lee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.22 Units / 19% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota has gone 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Minnesota is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -65% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
- Minnesota is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State has gone 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Penn State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 7.68% ROI
- Penn State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Penn State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Minnesota is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420
Minnesota is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .596
Minnesota is 8-2 (.615) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
Minnesota is 11-4 (.611) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .459
#10 Penn State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444
#10 Penn State is winless (0-5) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007
#10 Penn State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .484
#10 Penn State is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
Penn State’s TEs has gained 772 yards on 61 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.