The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on Tuesday, October 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in San Diego for this postseason game.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).

The Phillies vs Padres Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 92-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 78-91 ATS.

Phillies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 away games (+20.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 away games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 40 of his last 79 games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 43 away games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 41 away games (+12.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games at home (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Padres vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 56 away games (+23.28 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 118 games (+14.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 117 games (+9.30 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 away games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.73 Units / 96% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 77 games at home (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games at home (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 87-81 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 0.91% ROI).

• 92-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 0.72% ROI
• 85-77 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 0.27% ROI
• 77-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -8.28% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 78-91 against the Run Line (-19.45 Units / -9.18% ROI).

• 94-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -3.5% ROI
• 80-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -6.31% ROI
• 84-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -2.11% ROI

Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,694/3,826) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% – 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (747 balls in play) – tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 90.7

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH since the start of last season (936 balls in play) – 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .156 (67-for-429) against Yu Darvish's fastball since the start of last season – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .261 – 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/94) against Yu Darvish on inside fastballs since the start of last season – 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% – 99th Percentile.

  
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