The Atlanta Braves (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Saturday, October 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:07pm EDT in Philadelphia for this postseason game.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Braves vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 102-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 86-81 ATS.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 away games (+20.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 80 of his last 114 games (+19.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 27 away games (+18.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 away games (+15.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 away games (+14.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 49 of his last 83 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 57 games at home (+13.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 78 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 139 games (+24.04 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 115 games (+23.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 away games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 56 away games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 109 games (+17.03 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+16.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 117 games (+13.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 116 games (+8.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+7.73 Units / 18% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 84-81 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -2.87% ROI).
- 102-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.65 Units / 3.81% ROI
- 82-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 75-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -8.28% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 86-81 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.44% ROI).
- 91-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.25% ROI
- 84-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 77-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -7.73% ROI
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 63 of 728 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 45% (648/1,442) against Charlie Morton this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (63/190) against Charlie Morton with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (639/1,461) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 30 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (12/16) against Noah Syndergaard this month (1 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.