The Houston Astros (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Saturday, October 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Seattle for this postseason game.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Astros vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 108-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 86-80 ATS.

Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+11.65 Units / 97% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
• Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 57% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)

Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 96 of their last 151 games (+29.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 92 of their last 162 games (+25.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 101 of their last 148 games (+21.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 145 games (+15.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.55 Units / 27% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games at home (+17.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 98 games (+15.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+13.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+10.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 87-77 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 5.92% ROI).

• 108-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.3 Units / 5.98% ROI
• 61-93 when betting on the total runs Over for -40 Units / -22.27% ROI
• 93-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.2 Units / 13.87% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 86-80 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -2.77% ROI).

• 92-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 2.21% ROI
• 77-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -5.92% ROI
• 81-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.55% ROI

Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (18/157) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/357) against Lance McCullers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 80% of the time (1,403/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Lance McCullers has walked 61 of 431 left-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .381 (67 GB hits out of 176 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a BABIP of .387 against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .295 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (65-for-208) against George Kirby’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 53% (34/64) against George Kirby on the first pitch of at-bats — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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