Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct. 14, NLDS
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct. 14, NLDS

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+105) on Friday, October 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:37pm EDT in San Diego for this postseason game.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 112-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 76-91 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 40 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 31 away games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 51 away games (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 54 of his last 80 away games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games at home (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games at home (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Josh Bell 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Juan Soto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Josh Bell 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Juan Soto 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Juan Soto 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 161 games (+27.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 91 games (+17.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 69 away games (+5.75 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 75 games at home (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 98-66 against the Run Line (+26.25 Units / 13.19% ROI).

  • 112-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 1.53% ROI
  • 69-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.65 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 84-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 4.29% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 76-91 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -10.28% ROI).

  • 92-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -4.37% ROI
  • 79-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -6.38% ROI
  • 83-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -2.06% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .122 (49-for-402) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .123 (36-for-293) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .207 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .369 (310 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .636 — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 107 of 880 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (107/193) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 7 of 41 batters (17%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 10 of 60 batters (17%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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