After last night's game, these teams continue trending in opposite directions. Milwaukee's win allowed them to hold on to their 3-game lead over the Cardinals in the NL Central. Meanwhile, the Sox loss and Orioles win has them in a solidified last place in the AL East. Injuries aren't helping Boston's situation, and the Brewers do have easier divisional opponents. Regardless of the reasons behind their play thus far, we can target the best possible way to make Saturday's game profitable. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our thoughts on th e side and total for all of today's games.
Both teams over 3.5 total runs (+120)
J.D. Martinez 2+ total bases (-110)
Hunter Renfroe 2+ total bases (+100)
Parlay odds: +500
Let's take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
Both teams over 3.5 total runs (+120)
Rather than predicting either side to win this game, trusting both teams to produce seems to be the way to go. The Brewers have been the better team since the all-star break, but are going to be starting their last option, Eric Lauer, on the mound for this game. Similarly, the Red Sox will be going with arguably their best option, Nick Pivetta, but have not been trustworthy recently. Those combinations make this play the most valuable. It also correlates with the fact that this total is the highest of the day outside of Coors Field.
Lauer's last start was actually against the Rockies, but it was in Milwaukee. That game ended with a close 10-9 win, with Colorado nearly coming back in the 9th inning. The lefty was also on the mound for quite a disappointing loss earlier this month. The Brewers were taken down by a weak Pirates team, 8-6. Both of those performances demonstrate why it's difficult to trust Milwaukee to win with Lauer on the mound, and why both teams should be expected to produce. Even without Rafael Devers, the Red Sox have 2 of the best hitters against lefties in J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts.