The Wisconsin Badgers (3-3) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (2-4) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in East Lansing.
Wisconsin are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State is 49 total points.
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Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction for Week 7
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 55.9% confidence.
Wisconsin vs Michigan State Spread Prediction for Week 7
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.30 Units / 108% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jarek Broussard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.64 Units / 42% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin has gone 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -71.11% ROI
- Wisconsin is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State has gone 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Michigan State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -9.24% ROI
- Michigan State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Michigan State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Wisconsin is 6-2 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .487
Wisconsin is undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462
Wisconsin is 12-4 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
Michigan State is 9-2 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403
Michigan State is winless (0-7) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007
Michigan State’s TEs has 23 receptions in 5 games (4.6 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.