Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7
Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

The Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (5-0) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Knoxville.

Alabama are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Over/Under for Alabama vs. Tennessee is 65.5 total points.

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Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 65.7% confidence.

Alabama vs Tennessee Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.10 Units / 36% ROI)

  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+5.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)

  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama has gone 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Alabama is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 7.38% ROI
  • Alabama is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Alabama is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee has gone 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 41.38% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

#1 Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

#1 Alabama is 17-1 (.895) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

#1 Alabama is undefeated (13-0) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

#1 Alabama is 23-1 (.742) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

#8 Tennessee is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

#8 Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

#8 Tennessee is 2-13 (.118) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

#8 Tennessee is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 1,225 yards on 79 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

  
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