The Washington Commanders (1-4) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (2-3) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Chicago.
The Bears are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Commanders vs. Bears Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Bears Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bears will win this Week 6 game with 48.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread this Week 6 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- David Montgomery has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Kmet | 29.5 -115 | 29.5 -110 |
| David Montgomery | 14.5 -120 | 14.5 -110 |
| Darnell Mooney | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
Commanders Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
Bears Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.85 Units / 112% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored last in their last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.40 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Commanders are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -55.65% ROI
- Commanders are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Commanders are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 2-2 (-0.3 Units / -5.36% ROI).
- Bears are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 4.42% ROI
- Bears are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Bears are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Commanders are 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.
The Commanders are winless (0-4) since Week 2 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders are winless (0-4) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.
The Commanders are 2-5 (.286) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .732.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Bears are winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.