The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Sunday, October 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Flushing, Queens in the NL Wild Card series.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Padres vs Mets Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 90-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 88-76 ATS.

Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 61 away games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 44 games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 47 of his last 64 games (+26.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 82 games (+18.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 64 games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 45 of his last 74 games (+14.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.90 Units / 52% ROI)

Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 139 games (+13.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 away games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 77 games at home (+24.27 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 126 games (+16.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 164 games (+10.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 74-90 against the Run Line (-22.45 Units / -10.98% ROI).

• 90-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -5.15% ROI
• 77-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -6.92% ROI
• 82-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.46% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 88-76 against the Run Line (+10.75 Units / 5.26% ROI).

• 102-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 1.54% ROI
• 88-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.85 Units / 6.53% ROI
• 69-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.6 Units / -15.33% ROI

Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .071 (2-for-28) against Joe Musgrove — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .250 (17-for-68) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 26% (190/739) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — sixth Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.4 MPH this season (490 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.3 MPH on the 192 breaking pitches put in play against him since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.2.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.7 MPH this season (511 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (343/1,346) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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