The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Friday, October 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:07pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 87-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 87-75 ATS.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 58 away games (+20.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 56 away games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 62 away games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jean Segura has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.30 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+14.20 Units / 57% ROI)
• Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 65 games at home (+15.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 82-80 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -0.96% ROI).

• 87-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.31% ROI
• 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -0.75% ROI
• 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -7.37% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 87-75 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 2.84% ROI).

• 93-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 2.63% ROI
• 76-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -6.94% ROI
• 80-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -1.74% ROI

Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (172 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of 2020 (562 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 85.3

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 72.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (235 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Jose Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (232/411) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — fourth Percentile.

Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 50% (359/712) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has not allowed a home run in any of the last 62.0 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 59% (292/491) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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