The Missouri Tigers (2-3) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the Florida Gators (3-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Gainesville.
Florida are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).
The Over/Under for Missouri vs. Florida is 54.5 total points.
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Missouri vs Florida Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 64.1% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jacob Copeland has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tauskie Dove has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Best Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+12.55 Units / 67% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Florida have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri has gone 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI).
- Missouri are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -6.92% ROI
- Missouri are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Missouri are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida has gone 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Florida are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / 0% ROI
- Florida are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Florida are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Missouri is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454
Missouri is 2-6 (.143) when rushing more than 30 times — 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
Missouri is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447
Missouri is 3-13 (.188) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
Florida is 1-6 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350
Florida is 12-7 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418
Florida is 9-5 (.643) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429
Florida is 11-6 (.579) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410