The Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Starkville.
Mississippi State are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Arkansas vs. Mississippi State is 59.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 56.4% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Arkansas Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- KJ Jefferson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jadon Haselwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.80 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaden Walley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.97 Units / 23% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas has gone 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Arkansas are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Arkansas are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Arkansas are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State has gone 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi State are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 22.56% ROI
- Mississippi State are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Mississippi State are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
#20 Arkansas is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .500
#20 Arkansas is 6-1 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428
#20 Arkansas is 2-7 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392
#20 Arkansas is 4-11 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Mississippi State is 5-1 (.625) when not throwing an interception — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457