Below you’ll find my projected spreads for each game along with one of my best bets of the week: Lions vs. Patriots. You can find all of my best bets of the week here.
Here are my personal spread projections for each Week 5 game, ordered according to when each game kicks off. The consensus lines are pulled from our BettingPros odds page on Wednesday and are presented – along with my projected lines and edges – from the perspective of the home team. (For the London game, the Packers are technically the home team.)
| Home Team | Road Team | Consensus Line | Freedman Line | Projected Edge |
| DEN | IND | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| GB | NYG | -8 | -7.75 | 0.25 |
| BUF | PIT | -14 | -13.75 | 0.25 |
| CLE | LAC | 2.5 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| MIN | CHI | -7 | -7.75 | -0.75 |
| WAS | TEN | 2.5 | 0.25 | -2.25 |
| JAX | HOU | -7 | -6.25 | 0.75 |
| NO | SEA | -5.5 | -4.5 | 1 |
| TB | ATL | -9 | -9.5 | -0.5 |
| NYJ | MIA | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| NE | DET | -3 | -1 | 2 |
| CAR | SF | 6.5 | 4.5 | -2 |
| ARI | PHI | 5.5 | 2.75 | -2.75 |
| LAR | DAL | -5.5 | -6 | -0.5 |
| BAL | CIN | -3 | -2.25 | 0.75 |
| KC | LV | -7 | -9 | -2 |
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- TV:'FOX
Lions at Patriots: Consensus'Lines
- Spread: Patriots -3
- Over/Under: 45.5
- Moneyline: Patriots -159, Lions +140
Lions at Patriots: Betting Percentages
- Spread: Patriots – 45% bets, 81% money
- Over/Under: Over – 73% bets, 76% money
- Moneyline: Patriots – 61% bets, 61% money
Lions at Patriots: Injuries
Lions: Week 5 Injury Report
| Player | Position | Injury | Wed |
| Chris Board | LB | Knee | DNP |
| Evan Brown | C | Ankle | DNP |
| Quintez Cephus | WR | Foot | DNP |
| D.J. Chark | WR | Ankle | DNP |
| John Cominsky | DE | Wrist | DNP |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | Hip | DNP |
| Frank Ragnow | C | Foot | DNP |
| Josh Reynolds | WR | Ankle | DNP |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | Ankle | DNP |
| D’Andre Swift | RB | Shoulder/Ankle | DNP |
| Kayode Awosika | OT | Hamstring | LP |
| Taylor Decker | OT | Knee | LP |
| Jonah Jackson | G | Finger | LP |
| Matt Nelson | OT | Cal | LP |
| Austin Seibert | K | Right Groin | LP |
Lions: IR, PUP & Out
| Player | Pos | Status |
| Tommy Kraemer | G | IR |
| Levi Onwuzurike | DL | IR |
| Halapoulivaati Vaitai | G | IR |
| Tracy Walker III | S | IR |
| Jameson Williams | WR | NFI |
| Jason Cabinda | FB | PUP |
| Jerry Jacobs | CB | PUP |
| Romeo Okwara | DL | PUP |
| Josh Paschal | DL | PUP |
Lions Injury News
Patriots: Week 5 Injury Report
| Player | Position | Injury | Wed |
| Lawrence Guy | DE | Shoulder | DNP |
| Brian Hoyer | QB | Concussion | DNP |
| DaMarcus Mitchell | DE | Concussion | DNP |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | Ankle | DNP |
| Kyle Dugger | S | Knee | LP |
| Mac Jones | QB | Ankle | LP |
| Raekwon McMillan | MLB | Thumb | LP |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | Knee | LP |
| Jalen Mills | CB | Hamstring | LP |
| Adrian Phillips | DB | Ribs | LP |
| Isaiah Wynn | OT | Hip | LP |
Patriots: IR, PUP & Out
| Player | Pos | Status |
| Yodny Cajuste | OL | IR |
| Ty Montgomery | WR | IR |
| Ronnie Perkins | LB | IR |
| Tyquan Thornton | WR | IR |
| Kristian Wilkerson | WR | IR |
| Joejuan Williams | CB | IR |
| Quinn Nordin | K | NFI |
| Andrew Stueber | OL | NFI |
| Malcolm Perry | WR | Retired |
| James White | RB | Retired |
Patriots Injury News
Lions at Patriots: Notable Trends