The Tennessee Titans (2-2) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (1-3) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover.
The Titans are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Titans vs. Commanders Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Commanders Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Titans will win this Week 5 game with 51.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread this Week 5 with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan Tannehill has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ryan Tannehill has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Geoff Swaim has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Titans Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Commanders Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 2-2 (-0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- Titans are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -10.19% ROI
- Titans are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Titans are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Commanders are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -45.16% ROI
- Commanders are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Commanders are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Titans are 5-3 (.625) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2021 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 255.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.
The Titans are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 12 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.
The Titans are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .282.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Commanders are 2-8 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .635.
The Commanders are 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.