The Miami Dolphins (3-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (2-2) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Dolphins vs. Jets Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 5 game with 55.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread this Week 5 with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Teddy Bridgewater has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Myles Gaskin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- C.J. Uzomah has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ty Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Completions Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Dolphins Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Jets Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored last in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 68% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 42.22% ROI).
- Dolphins are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 69.57% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Dolphins are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 40% ROI
- Jets are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI
- Jets are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Dolphins are 11-5 (.688) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL. The Jets have turned the ball over 36 times since the 2021 season — second-most in NFL.
The Dolphins are 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Dolphins are 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .538.
The Dolphins are 3-2 (.600) when getting 4 or more points since the 2021 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .281.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Jets are 1-8 (.111) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
The Jets are 1-3 (.250) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .735.