The Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-2) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Chargers vs. Browns Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Browns vs Chargers & all NFL games with BetMGM
Chargers vs. Browns Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 5 game with 64.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 5 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- DeAndre Carter has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 72% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chester Rogers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kareem Hunt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Chargers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Browns Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 64% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Chargers are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -21.66% ROI
- Chargers are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chargers are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Browns are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -25.36% ROI
- Browns are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Browns are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Chargers are 1-3 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.
— tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .281.
The Chargers are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .300.
The Chargers are 5-10 (.333) when committing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Browns are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .149.