The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 66-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 82-77 ATS.
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 77-82 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -8.18% ROI).
- 66-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.6% ROI
- 60-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -18.85% ROI
- 85-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 11.49% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 82-77 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -3.15% ROI).
- 87-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.79% ROI
- 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI
Eduardo Rodriguez: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Hitters have swung at 38% of Eduardo Rodriguez’s pitches (19/50) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (30/45) against Eduardo Rodriguez — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (111/637) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Chris Flexen curveball was July 13rd. Hitters are 0 for their last 29 in ABs ending on his curveball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents are hitting .310 (86-for-277) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .184 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 27.2.
Opponents are hitting just .071 (1-for-14) against Chris Flexen — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 96th Percentile.