The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-140) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 77-83 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 69-90 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 away games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 69 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 45 of his last 72 games at home (+16.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 74-86 against the Run Line (-16.55 Units / -8.41% ROI).
- 77-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.1 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -1.96% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 69-90 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.53% ROI).
- 80-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.1 Units / -9.61% ROI
- 70-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -8.85% ROI
- 79-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 1.53% ROI
Josh Winder: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Josh Winder — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (10/34) against Josh Winder — 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Josh Winder has allowed a slugging percentage of .391 (9 Total Bases / 23 ABs) with two-strikes — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .261 (6-for-23) against Josh Winder with two-strikes — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .148 — eighth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (127/438) against Lucas Giolito this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (13/20) against Lucas Giolito against right-handed batters — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (155/515) against Lucas Giolito since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (250/903) against Lucas Giolito since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.