The New York Yankees (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington in Game 1 of their doubleheader.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 98-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 84-75 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 70 of his last 119 games (+21.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+21.30 Units / 59% ROI)
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 72-87 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -9.16% ROI).
- 98-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.6% ROI
- 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -6.6% ROI
- 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -2.27% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 84-75 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.7% ROI).
- 66-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.2 Units / -13.31% ROI
- 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -0.97% ROI
- 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -6.76% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (637/1,089) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (519/1,533) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (1,841/3,171) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (15/54) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (265/1,216) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 36 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Jon Gray. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 37.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 36 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Jon Gray. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 37.