The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 66-94 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 53 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.95 Units / 95% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 93-67 against the Run Line (+22.15 Units / 10.83% ROI).
- 73-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -1.23% ROI
- 73-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 82-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.51% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 66-94 against the Run Line (-36.35 Units / -18.89% ROI).
- 85-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.9 Units / -8.98% ROI
- 76-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -4.07% ROI
- 76-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -3.63% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .184 (116-for-631) against Zac Gallen this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (21-for-166) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .143 (43-for-300) against Zac Gallen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .249 (690 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 95th Percentile.
Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (200/609) against Eric Lauer since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (159/535) against Eric Lauer on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .277 (33-for-119) against Eric Lauer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (271/758) against Eric Lauer since the start of last season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.