The Tampa Bay Rays (-145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+120) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 86-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 80-79 ATS.
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 35 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games at home (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
J.D. Martinez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rich Hill | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Tyler Glasnow | 4.5 -185 | 4.5 +130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 away games (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 130 games (+8.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-80 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.03% ROI).
- 86-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -2.27% ROI
- 70-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -8.54% ROI
- 79-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.36% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 80-79 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -1.48% ROI).
- 75-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -9.02% ROI
- 75-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -3.12% ROI
- 74-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tyler Glasnow: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Tyler Glasnow. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 37.
The last hit on a Tyler Glasnow curveball was June 1st, 2021. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Chris Flexen has the longest active streak at 29.
Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (1,268/3,111) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
18 of Rich Hill’s 63 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (2,013/4,406) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (402/793) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.