The San Francisco Giants (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 80-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-88 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Austin Wynns has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
• Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games at home (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 64 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 106 games (+11.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 77 of their last 151 games (+10.65 Units / 6% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 71 of their last 134 games (+14.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 77 games at home (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 76-83 against the Run Line (-14.5 Units / -7.37% ROI).

• 80-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.05 Units / -8.76% ROI
• 73-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -6.74% ROI
• 77-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -2.18% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 70-88 against the Run Line (-24.5 Units / -12.47% ROI).

• 87-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -5.75% ROI
• 72-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -10% ROI
• 82-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 1.68% ROI

John Brebbia: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

John Brebbia has a strikeout rate of just 14% (16 SO in 118 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the start of last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 0 Percentile.

John Brebbia has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (65 Total Bases / 110 ABs) on low non-fastballs since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .223 (29-for-130) against John Brebbia with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (40-for-110) against John Brebbia’s low curves and sliders since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .178 — first Percentile.

Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Musgrove has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,504/3,478) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .258 (17-for-66) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .336 — 95th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,326/3,066) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 40% (771/1,932) against Joe Musgrove in non-two strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
Read Full Article