The Kansas City Royals (+155) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Royals vs Guardians Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 64-95 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 84-75 ATS.

Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 53 away games (+17.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 33 games at home (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games at home (+15.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Triston McKenzie has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Shane Bieber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 56 away games (+18.03 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 105 games (+16.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 away games (+14.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 86 games (+12.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 140 games (+24.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 76 of their last 140 games (+11.70 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 66 games at home (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.11 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 79-80 against the Run Line (-15 Units / -7.16% ROI).

• 64-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -10.29% ROI
• 79-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.32% ROI
• 74-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -7.76% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 84-75 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 3.31% ROI).

• 90-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.8 Units / 9.88% ROI
• 72-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.78% ROI
• 78-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -0.85% ROI

Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Greinke has struck out just 4% (1/23) of left-handed batters he faced — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (117/359) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (35/103) against Zack Greinke on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Zack Greinke has struck out just 13% (66/503) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (58/185) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (160/487) against Triston McKenzie this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (253/548) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 42 ABs ending on a two-strike curveball from Triston McKenzie. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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