Tuley's Takes Today 10/3: Monday Best Bets, NFL Week 5 leans, Contest Corner
Tuley's Takes Today 10/3: Monday Best Bets, NFL Week 5 leans, Contest Corner

Sunday was another thrilling day of pro football with a little bit of MLB mixed in.

It started extra early in the Tuley’s Takes home office with the Vikings-Saints game from London starting at 6:30 a.m. PT here in Vegas. And it didn’t end for yours truly until filing this column early Monday morning.

In between, we experienced another roller-coaster of a day. Personally, we were thrilled as we won our two biggest bets of the day on the plays we gave out last Sunday night on “The Greg Peterson Experience” on VSiN (our regular spot is at 12:15 a.m. ET/9:15 p.m. PT, or 15 minutes into the archived replay): Titans + 3.5 at the Colts and Patriots + 9.5 at the Packers (which we rebet when it went to + 10.5. We also hit our biggest 2-team, 6-point teasers on the Saints + 8.5 with the Falcons + 8 vs. the Browns, which we then changed to Saints + 8.5/Cardinals + 7.5 in the VSiN Best Bets file when the Falcons line dipped a little.

Underdogs had another good Sunday at 8-5-1 ATS, so it should have been a good day for us. Somehow, we went 2-3 with our own Circa Sports Million entry (losses on the Bears, Texans and Jaguars), though we fortunately went 3-2 with a group entry that is off to a decent start to the season at 13-7. We also survived in Circa Survivor on the Eagles with our two live entries.

Again, it was an up and down day like that, as we’ll detail in our regular daily recaps below, plus we’ll update the season-long betting stats in NFL and MLB and take a peek in Contest Corner before making some Best Bets for Monday as well as a few early bets for NFL Week 5.

Sunday’s Recaps

NFL: Chiefs upset the Buccaneers 41-31 on Sunday Night Football as 2-point road underdogs (the game went Over the betting total of 47.5 points. Favorites went 8-6 SU on Sunday, but dogs led 8-5-1 ATS with upsets by the Titans, Seahawks, Jets, Falcons, Cardinals and Chiefs. The Saints and Patriots covered in SU losses. Road teams went 7-6 SU and 7-5-1 ATS on Sunday (not counting the neutral-site London game). Overs went 8-6.

More NFL: ON THE SEASON, faves lead 35-26-1 SU with 1 pick-’em (Commanders-Lions in Week 2), but underdogs still lead 35-24-3 ATS (57.4 percent). Home teams dipped to 32-29-1 SU (1 neutral site) while road teams took 30-29-3 ATS lead. Unders dipped to 36-26-1 (58.1 percent) while primetime Unders dipped to 8-4.

Even more NFL: Vikings (-4) beat Saints 28-25 in London to kick-off Sunday's action, but they did NOT cover vs. closing line for our grading purposes here. However, the Vikes did cover earlier line of -2.5, including in contests like the Circa Sports Million and SuperContest. The game went Over the total of 42 in back-and-forth 4th quarter. Faves went 5-4 SU in 1 pm ET games and 4-4-1 ATS with Bills (-3) pushing in 23-20 come-from-behind win at Ravens. Early upsets were by the Titans (+ 4 at Colts), Seahawks (+3.5 at Lions), Jets (+3 at Steelers) and Falcons (+1 vs. Browns). Home teams went 5-4 SU and 4-4-1 ATS. Unders 5-4. In the afternoon session, faves went 2-1 SU, but dogs led 2-1 ATS as Packers (-9.5) failed to cover in 27-24 OT win vs. Patriots. Raiders (-3) did cover in 32-23 win vs. Broncos while Cardinals (+1) upset Panthers 26-16. Home teams were also 2-1 SU, but road teams led 2-1 ATS. Overs 2-1.

  
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