The Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 59-99 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 87-71 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.95 Units / 50% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.45 Units / 58% ROI)
• Cal Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.30 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.05 Units / 54% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 50% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 46 away games (+7.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 94 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 64 games at home (+16.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games at home (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games at home (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+6.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -3.62% ROI).

• 59-99 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -9.92% ROI
• 72-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -6.95% ROI
• 77-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -1.03% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 87-71 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 5.38% ROI).

• 92-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 4.11% ROI
• 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -7.62% ROI
• 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.09% ROI

Roansy Contreras: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Roansy Contreras has walked 15 of 106 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (13/90) against Roansy Contreras on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Roansy Contreras has located his pitches away 58% of the time (233/401) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (11/65) against Roansy Contreras with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (748/1,281) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (222/1,327) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (2,450/4,371) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has averaged 88.5 MPH on fastballs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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