The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 85-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 71-87 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 57 away games (+19.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 61 away games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 55 away games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 49 games (+22.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+15.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+15.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Call | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Call | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Call | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Patrick Corbin | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +105 |
Zack Wheeler | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 108 games (+10.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 away games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 107 games (+3.65 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 91 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 65 games (+8.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 39 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -1.95% ROI).
- 85-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 79-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 73-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -7.45% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 71-87 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -11.98% ROI).
- 55-103 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -6.07% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (453 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 85.3
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (741 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 90.7
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.2 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (169 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 87.9
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (421/981) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has located his pitches away 63% of the time (724/1,153) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (123 Total Bases / 215 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .368 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (50 Total Bases / 70 ABs) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has located his pitches away 64% of the time (896/1,395) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.