The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 86-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 84-74 ATS.
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 75 games at home (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 51 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Justin Verlander has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -140 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Pablo Lopez | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 93 of their last 145 games (+30.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 156 games (+23.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 142 games (+18.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 139 games (+15.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.28% ROI).
- 86-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 70-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -8% ROI
- 78-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.2% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 84-74 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 5.72% ROI).
- 103-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 4.85% ROI
- 59-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.75 Units / -21.81% ROI
- 89-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.3 Units / 13.31% ROI
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (180/503) against Corey Kluber this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Corey Kluber has walked 20 of 668 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 30% (235/776) against Corey Kluber in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has walked 2 of 193 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .853 (58 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .426 (29-for-68) against Luis Garcia on low fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .276 — second Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .200 (125 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Luis Garcia’s breaking pitches (382/1,017) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.