The New York Mets (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Mets vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 98-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 82-76 ATS.
Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 50 of his last 77 away games (+23.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 43 of his last 59 games (+23.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 58 of his last 76 games (+21.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 44 of his last 68 games (+19.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 58 away games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 78 of his last 108 games (+25.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 57 games at home (+20.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 83 of his last 146 games (+17.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 43 of his last 67 games (+15.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 120 games (+12.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 58 away games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 158 games (+8.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 158 games (+6.77 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 132 games (+27.97 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 108 games (+26.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 84-74 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 4.49% ROI).
- 98-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 1.1% ROI
- 83-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 4.58% ROI
- 68-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.1 Units / -13.31% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 82-76 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -1.64% ROI).
- 99-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.4 Units / 4.97% ROI
- 78-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -0.8% ROI
- 72-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -7.83% ROI
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (90/506) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.5 MPH this season (502 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Chris Bassitt has averaged 71.6 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (333/1,308) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (608/1,401) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 29 of 357 right-handed batters (8%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 73% (11/15) against Charlie Morton against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (2,158/5,811) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.