The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-190) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 75-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 69-89 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 56 away games (+22.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 28 away games (+17.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 55 away games (+16.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 54 away games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 away games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 46 games at home (+14.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 57 games at home (+13.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 76 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 129 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 71 away games (+5.90 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 away games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.22 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 117 games (+13.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 80-78 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -0.88% ROI).

• 75-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.7 Units / -8.56% ROI
• 74-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -3.71% ROI
• 74-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -3.9% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 69-89 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -13.37% ROI).

• 89-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.1 Units / -6.58% ROI
• 80-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -0.84% ROI
• 74-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -8.55% ROI

Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (276/576) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (98/534) against Michael Wacha this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 37% (382/1,026) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 68% (13/19) against Michael Wacha against right-handed batters — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — second Percentile.

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (548/1,375) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (504/1,315) against Kevin Gausman since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (239/551) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% (918/1,797) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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