The Chicago White Sox (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The White Sox vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 78-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-87 ATS.
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+13.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 57 away games (+13.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games at home (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+14.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 71 away games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 91 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 70 of their last 133 games (+13.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 68-89 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.71% ROI).
- 78-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -10.81% ROI
- 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.4% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-87 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.03% ROI).
- 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -9.48% ROI
- 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.12% ROI
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (38 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .426 — third Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 7 of 277 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (38-for-102) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (262/682) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Blake Snell — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an OPS of just .259 (44 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .676 — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 100 of 844 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Blake Snell — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.