The Philadelphia Phillies (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 84-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 70-86 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 55 away games (+17.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 59 away games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 47 games (+20.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 86 of their last 151 games (+18.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 106 games (+11.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 105 games (+3.85 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 78 of their last 143 games (+13.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 89 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 37 games (+4.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 78-78 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- 84-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 77-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -1.91% ROI
- 73-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.75 Units / -6.29% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 70-86 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -12.11% ROI).
- 54-102 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -10.13% ROI
- 71-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -7.3% ROI
- 76-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.76% ROI
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 30 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (26 Total Bases / 30 ABs) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tommy Romero: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has limited playing time.
Tommy Romero has limited playing time.