The Chicago White Sox (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The White Sox vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 78-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-87 ATS.
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 75 of his last 113 games (+29.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 76 of his last 115 games (+21.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 62 of his last 115 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 39 games at home (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 62 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 82 of their last 157 games (+13.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 70 away games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 90 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 69 of their last 132 games (+12.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 68-89 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.71% ROI).
- 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.45 Units / -10.38% ROI
- 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.4% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 70-87 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -12.03% ROI).
- 86-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -9.54% ROI
- 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.12% ROI
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .165 (55-for-333) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 74 of 723 batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease has struck out 34% (125/368) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 52 of 465 batters (11%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (8-for-43) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (66/347) against Mike Clevinger this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (46/142) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (33 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .427 — fourth Percentile.