The Philadelphia Phillies (-225) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+180) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 83-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 70-85 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 51 away games (+15.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 55 away games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 44 games (+20.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
| Bailey Falter | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 77-78 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -2.41% ROI).
- 83-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.38% ROI
- 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.34% ROI
- 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -6.92% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 70-85 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -11.64% ROI).
- 54-101 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -6.77% ROI
- 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -1.36% ROI
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 30 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (26 Total Bases / 30 ABs) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 53% (887/1,684) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (254/1,157) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 52% (1,022/1,968) when ahead in the count since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 61% (1,372/2,262) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.