The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 76-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 74-81 ATS.

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 67 away games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 21 away games (+2.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 72-84 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -8.71% ROI).

• 76-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -7.12% ROI
• 72-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -4.43% ROI
• 73-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -3.74% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 74-81 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -9.28% ROI).

• 63-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.69% ROI
• 60-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -17.96% ROI
• 83-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.05 Units / 10.6% ROI

Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (110/381) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (45/151) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (65/236) against Joe Ryan since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (129/446) against Joe Ryan since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (85/530) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .369 against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .365 (27-for-74) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (24/170) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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