The Texas Rangers (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Thursday, September 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 66-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 81-73 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 64.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 away games (+25.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 58 away games (+24.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+22.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 87 games (+15.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 59 games at home (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Jon Gray | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 82-72 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.58% ROI).
- 66-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 75-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI
- 69-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -7.51% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 81-73 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.52% ROI).
- 84-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.65% ROI
- 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.32% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .165 (85-for-514) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 95th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jon Gray vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 417.6 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Opponents are hitting just .164 (35-for-214) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .190 (44-for-231) against Jon Gray this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 94th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (63 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 0 Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — third Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,103/2,177) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.