The New York Yankees (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+110) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 95-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-87 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 53 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -11.19% ROI).
- 95-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -2.84% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-87 against the Run Line (-24.2 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 87-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -2.65% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -6.77% ROI
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (83/192) against Gerrit Cole this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (508/1,489) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (628/1,073) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (337/882) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch White has walked 2 of 102 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (50/358) against Mitch White this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Mitch White has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 89 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (91/482) against Mitch White in non-two strike counts this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.