The Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (0-2) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Houston.
The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Chargers vs. Texans Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Texans Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 4 game with 78.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 4 with 62.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Sony Michel has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 59% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games at home (+7.60 Units / 122% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.20 Units / 85% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Chargers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Texans Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+11.70 Units / 103% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Chargers are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -50% ROI
- Chargers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Chargers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 59.7% ROI).
- Texans are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- Texans are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Texans are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Chargers are 4-2 (.667) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
The Chargers are 8-3 (.727) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2020 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.